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Published Articles
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Long-Term Investing
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| by Rick Sutherland, CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P. July 2001 |
Long-Term Investing
A goal of many people today is to retire from the workforce at age 55.
With increasing average life expectancy, you should plan to live off your
pension and savings for approximately thirty years. One of the most significant
financial considerations today, is to maintain the purchasing power of
your money over this potentially long period of time.
Thirty years can have a profound impact when making your investment decisions.
We want to illustrate this by way of an example. Our time period spans
from the great depression until today. This period saw multiple wars,
political instability, double digit inflation, oil crises and many other
major world events.
The figures quoted are US, but they are excellent to make our point. From
the mid-nineteen twenties until today, the compound annual return was
12.4% for small cap stocks, 11.0% for large cap stocks, 5.7% for high
quality corporate bonds and 3.1% was the inflation factor. When you deduct
inflation, you see that stocks paid 3 to 4 times the rate of bonds.
The best explanation for this huge discrepancy is that there is no guaranteed
return when investing in stocks. People were rewarded for accepting an
investment that was not guaranteed.
During our example period, there was a significant stock market drop of
about 30% that occurred approximately every five years. Yes, stocks can
be volatile in the short term. Often we mistake volatility for risk. The
real risk is not the short term volatility that you can almost predict
will occur every five years, but rather the potential purchasing power
loss that will occur if you do not invest money into the ownership of
quality businesses.
One of our greatest challenges is to temper our psychological mood. We
feel fear when the stock market goes down, and euphoria when the stock
market goes up. The next time you feel these emotions, ask yourself if
you are a long-term investor. We are confident that most of you will answer,
"Yes".
This is a monthly article on financial planning. Call or write to Rick Sutherland CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P., of Fundex Investments with your topics of interest at 798-2421 or E-mail at rick@invested-interest.ca.
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