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| by Rick Sutherland, CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P. October 2002 |
Is Free Advice Worth It?
Over
the past year we have witnessed events that have impacted us emotionally
and financially. In establishing a solid financial plan, it is important
to note that advice from a financial professional is far more prudent,
than acting on sometimes-sensational media reports. Reading periodicals,
listening to radio and watching television is fine, however, media companies
have an agenda. Magazines are out to sell copies and radio and television
news programs are out to capture the most ears and eyes to their advertisers.
Since good news does not sell as well as bad news, it is not surprising
that bad returns in world stock markets is being emphasized, and good
economic news it being discounted.
Here
is an example to show how free investment advice from the media is worth
what you pay. An August 13, 1979 cover of a well known national magazine
screams ?he Death of Equities ?How Inflation is Destroying the Stock Market?
The article advocated investing only in the ?ot sectors?of oil and precious
metals. This date turned out to be the beginning of the greatest increase
in the stock market of the twentieth century. From then until the end
of July 2002, the price of oil had declined 5.1%. Gold had increased 1.66%.
However, the US S&P stock index returned 1,631.34% over the same twenty-three
year period. Calculated as a compound return, this equals 13.25% annually!
Another
example of questionable advice was also captured on television. Recently
in July of 2002, a noted news network journalist advised viewers to ?hort?stocks
to make money. Shorting is a speculative investment strategy that works
only when stock markets are declining. Shortly after this sage advice
was dispensed the market began to increase and by early September had
regained nearly 10%, resulting in losses to those who heeded this advice.
We
are currently living in an agonizing two and a half year bear market.
The good news is that the North American economy is generally solid and
improving. Try not to act too hastily on the information and opinion from
media outlets. These sources cannot take the place of personalized financial
planning advice. It is not easy to confirm and verify the information
to determine if the strategy makes sense for your circumstances. Lastly,
avoid hot investment ideas and stick to a long-term financial plan, as
this is the only sure way to achieve financial success.
This is a monthly article on financial planning. Call or write to Rick Sutherland CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P., of Fundex Investments with your topics of interest at 798-2421 or E-mail at rick@invested-interest.ca.
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