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| by Rick Sutherland, CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P. November 2003 |
Your Investment Risk
During
the 90s many investors embraced risk. Stocks and stock-based mutual funds
were chosen over other forms of saving and investment vehicles. However,
the investor of the new millennium has thus far attempted to avoid risk.
Fear of market volatility has become synonymous with risk.
The
key to successful investing is to understand that your time frame has
a direct impact on the amount of perceived risk that is taken. Short-term
market volatility should not be confused with investment risk unless you
will need the money in the very near future. In fact, history suggests,
the longer you hold an investment the less volatile that investment becomes.
A
study was conducted between December 31, 1973 and June 30, 2003. The study
looked at the variability of returns over one, three, five, ten and twenty
year periods. As expected, the S&P/TSX Composite index showed the
highest variance over the one-year time frame, from minus 40% to positive
80%. This variance shrinks to about minus 2% to positive 25% over the
five-year periods and positive 5% to positive 20% on the ten-year periods.
Clearly, the more time given to an investment, the lower the volatility.
There
have been several significant market declines over the past 30 years.
The size and duration of each decline was different, however there was
one common characteristic. The declines eventually ended and the market
went on to new highs. It is important to note that the S&P/TSX Composite
index did reach a low point last October 2002. Since then the index is
up over 20%.
We
are not suggesting that everyone throw caution to the wind and begin to
invest in stock-based mutual funds immediately, but rather we are suggesting
that there may be an opportunity that you won’t want to miss. Understand
that time is an important consideration when evaluating the risk associated
with your investments. Today
may be one of the best times to invest your money for long-term growth
that we have seen in many years.
This is a monthly article on financial planning. Call or write to Rick Sutherland CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P., of Fundex Investments with your topics of interest at 798-2421 or E-mail at rick@invested-interest.ca.
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